🌤️ Weather Edge
Daily NOAA forecast edge signals vs Kalshi prediction markets.
Updated daily · 5 cities tracked
🌤️ Daily Weather Edge
NOAA forecast vs Kalshi markets — updated daily
New York
81°F / 71°F
Mostly Sunny
🔥 Strong Edge
Above threshold · 90% confidence · 8°F cushion
Miami
88°F / 78°F
Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
🔥 Strong Edge
Above threshold · 90% confidence · 8°F cushion
Chicago
72°F / 65°F
Partly Sunny
🔥 Strong Edge
Above threshold · 90% confidence · 8°F cushion
Los Angeles
79°F / 68°F
Patchy Fog then Mostly Sunny
🔥 Strong Edge
Above threshold · 90% confidence · 8°F cushion
Houston
93°F / 78°F
Sunny
🔥 Strong Edge
Above threshold · 90% confidence · 8°F cushion
How It Works
📡 NOAA Forecasts
We pull official NWS/NOAA temperature forecasts for 14 major US cities every morning via the weather.gov API.
📊 Kalshi Markets
Kalshi lists temperature threshold contracts. "Will NYC high temp exceed 85°F?" — traders buy YES or NO.
🔥 Edge Detection
When NOAA forecast is 4°F+ above/below a Kalshi threshold, we flag a strong edge signal. That's where smart money trades.